Showing posts with label quantified self. Show all posts
Showing posts with label quantified self. Show all posts

Monday, March 11, 2013

Tom Slee on Evgeny Morozov’s “To Save Everything, Click Here”


Tom Slee, Whimsley, March 2013

Every­body loves Jane Jacobs.  I love Jane Jacobs and "Aus­trian" econ­o­mists with whom I dis­agree, like Alex Tabar­rok, love Jane Jacobs.Steven John­son says he loves Jane Jacobs in his recent book Future Per­fect, and so does Evgeny Moro­zov at the begin­ning of To Save Every­thing, Click Here – but Moro­zov is argu­ing against John­son. You prob­a­bly love Jane Jacobs.

So some­one has to be wrong. Much of this essay is an attempt to see why Moro­zov gets Jacobs right, while John­son and oth­ers are miss­ing some­thing important.
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From 2005 to 2007, Evgeny Moro­zov tells us, he thought that dig­i­tal tech­nol­ogy might be a way to rid the world of auto­cratic regimes. His dis­il­lu­sion­ment was chan­nelled into his influ­en­tial first book, The Net Delu­sion, a full-on attack on "the sheer cal­lous­ness and utopi­anism" of the "Inter­net Free­dom" project (p 354).

This time around, Morozov's tar­get is much broader, but still cen­tred in the world of dig­i­tal tech­nolo­gies, and par­tic­u­larly the Inter­net. He takes aim at the ide­olo­gies that have grown up around the Inter­net, and their many manifestations.

Chap­ter 7 is typ­i­cal of the book. Here is a col­lec­tion of peo­ple who record and track their every­day lives online, and then ana­lyze and quan­tify their exis­tence, from tooth­brush­ing to read­ing to fecal con­tents. These "data­sex­u­als" now have a social move­ment, of a sort, which they call the "Quan­ti­fied Self" move­ment. It would be easy to dis­miss the Quan­ti­fied Self­ers as harm­less eccentrics if they did not have a sig­nif­i­cant pres­ence among the opin­ion shapers and lead­ing lights of Sil­i­con Val­ley, and if the mind­set they embody was not clearly present, if in mod­er­ated form, in the wider dig­i­tal world, and if the assump­tions and goals were not ooz­ing out over the rest of us. From quan­ti­fy­ing one­self in a pri­vate con­text it is a short step to the pre­sen­ta­tion of self through these num­bers, and the use of them as a basis for opti­miza­tion and refine­ment. So Moro­zov cites Reid Hoff­man, founder of LinkedIn, who says that self track­ing is a way to "acknowl­edge that you have bugs, that there's new devel­op­ment to do on your­self" (237) so that we can algo­rith­mi­cally mea­sure, tweak, and refine our­selves and our self-presentation to the world.

From here it is just one more short step to the buy­ing and sell­ing of our per­sonal data: to insur­ers in return for lower pre­mi­ums, to adver­tis­ers in return for bet­ter deals. Our per­sonal data becomes a new "asset class" and exec­u­tives respond by "try­ing to shift the focus [of debate] from purely pri­vacy to what we call prop­erty rights" (235). New social pres­sures emerge as the dig­i­tiz­ers fol­low their path of bits, algo­rithms and mar­kets (career coun­sel­lors now rou­tinely rec­om­mend that build­ing a strong pres­ence on LinkedIn is a route to a bet­ter job), and we can replace debates about pri­vacy with reas­sur­ances about per­sonal choice. "Pri­vacy is mostly an illu­sion, but you'll have as much of it as you want to pay for" says Kevin Kelly (236). New com­pa­nies emerge to opti­mize our self-presentation on the web (reputation.com), new norms emerge as "If you're going out with some­one, and they don't have a Face­book pro­file, you should be sus­pi­cious" (Slate's Farhad Man­joo, quoted on p. 239). Why would you not share your real-time blood alco­hol lev­els with your employer if you don't have any­thing to hide? (240).

The impact of the dig­i­tal on our lives is such that, while the social con­se­quences of self-tracking seem immense, they are just one thread among many of the dig­i­tal rev­o­lu­tion. In sep­a­rate chap­ters, Moro­zov inves­ti­gates new devel­op­ments in polic­ing, arts and cul­ture, pol­i­tics, gov­ern­ment, social engi­neer­ing, civic life, health, the work­place, and the increas­ingly designed, archi­tected envi­ron­ments in which we live. There is no aspect of life that isn't ready to be tweaked, nudged, hacked and fil­tered into opti­mal performance.
How to respond to such a flood of changes? One is tempted to define one­self by an atti­tude to dig­i­tal tech­nolo­gies them­selves: to be unequiv­o­cally pro– or anti-technology. But to reject or to accept tech­nol­ogy whole­sale has no future: whole­sale rejec­tion entails rejec­tion, not just of inte­grated cir­cuits, but of the peo­ple con­nected by them: shap­ing the use of tech­nol­ogy lies not in the realm of indi­vid­ual choice, but of social choice. Whole­sale accep­tance seems fatal­is­tic – aban­don­ing the pos­si­bil­ity of hav­ing any say in the forces shap­ing the soci­eties in which we live.

Moro­zov under­takes two projects, one suc­cess­fully and one less so. The first is to pro­vide a frame­work in which to think about the new inven­tions that are being sold to us, and the pat­terns of thought behind them. Moro­zov iden­ti­fies a twin-tracked ide­ol­ogy behind the inven­tions and inven­tive­ness of the dig­i­tal world. One track is "Internet-centrism" – the prac­tice of "tak­ing a model of how the Inter­net works and apply­ing it to other endeav­ours". Writ­ers have imbued the Inter­net with "a way of work­ing"; it has a "grain" to which we must adapt; it has a cul­ture, a "way it is meant to be used", and it comes with a mythol­ogy in which iTunes and Wikipedia become mod­els to think about the future of pol­i­tics, and Zynga is a model for civic engage­ment (15). The sec­ond track is "solu­tion­ism": the recast­ing of social sit­u­a­tions as prob­lems with def­i­nite solu­tions; processes to be opti­mized (23).

Moro­zov does a fine job of artic­u­lat­ing Internet-centrism and solu­tion­ism as two facets of a sin­gle Sil­i­con Val­ley ide­ol­ogy, whose fol­low­ers include the Valley's soft­ware indus­try lead­ers, ven­ture cap­i­tal­ists, con­fer­ences and "thought lead­ers", as an evo­lu­tion of the "Cyber­selfish" ide­ol­ogy iden­ti­fied a decade ago by Paulina Bor­sook. The com­mon assump­tions, shared biases, and indi­vid­u­al­is­tic predil­ic­tions give a cohe­sive­ness and homo­gene­ity to the new ideas and inven­tions, actively con­struct­ing and shap­ing the dig­i­tal envi­ron­ment from which they claim to draw their inspi­ra­tion. The insis­tence on "dis­rupt­ing" our social and envi­ron­men­tal lives; the idea that the solu­tions inspired by and enabled by the Inter­net mark a clean break from his­tor­i­cal pat­terns, a never-before-seen oppor­tu­nity – these mean that the only lessons to learn from his­tory are those of pre­vi­ous tech­no­log­i­cal dis­rup­tions. The view of soci­ety as an institution-free net­work of autonomous indi­vid­u­als prac­tic­ing free exchange makes the social sci­ences, with the excep­tion of eco­nom­ics, irrel­e­vant. What's left is engi­neer­ing, neu­ro­science, an under­stand­ing of incen­tives (in the nar­rowly util­i­tar­ian sense): just right for those whose intel­lec­tual pre­dis­po­si­tions are to algo­rithms, design, and data struc­tures. Moro­zov argues that these ortho­dox­ies have had "a cor­ro­sive effect on pub­lic dis­course and on reform projects" (16) and it's dif­fi­cult to argue otherwise.

Morozov's approach to unpick­ing the hid­den assump­tions of solu­tion­ism, and the unpalat­able con­se­quences of its appli­ca­tion, is impres­sive but less suc­cess­ful. In order to avoid a blan­ket technopes­simism he makes two moves. The first is to adopt a broadly social con­struc­tion­ist approach to the world of dig­i­tal tech­nolo­gies. The Inter­net does not shape us, it is shaped by the soci­ety in which it is grow­ing. He is with Ray­mond Williams, against Mar­shall McLuhan. His stance here is blunt: he refuses to see "the Inter­net" as an agent of change, for good or bad. "The Inter­net" is not a cause; it does not explain things, it is the thing that needs to be explained. Chap­ter 2 is titled The Inter­net Tells Us Noth­ing (Because It Doesn't Actu­ally Exist).

The sec­ond, more sur­pris­ing move, is to adopt a cri­tique that was first described in a pejo­ra­tive sense by Albert Hirschmann. "In his influ­en­tial book The Rhetoric of Reac­tion, Hirschmann argued that all pro­gres­sive reforms usu­ally attract con­ser­v­a­tive crit­i­cisms that build on one of the fol­low­ing three themes: per­ver­sity (whereby the pro­posed inter­ven­tion only wors­ens the prob­lem at hand), futil­ity (whereby the inter­ven­tion yields no results what­so­ever), and jeop­ardy (whereby the inter­ven­tion threat­ens to under­mine some pre­vi­ous, hard-earned accom­plish­ment)" (6). Moro­zov does not see him­self as a con­ser­v­a­tive, but instead places him­self in the tra­di­tion of other thinkers who have stood against pro­grams of orga­nized effi­ciency; "Jane Jacobs attacks on the arro­gance of urban plan­ning, Michael Oakeshott's rebel­lion against ratio­nal­ists in all walks of human exis­tence, Hans Jonas's impa­tience with the cold com­fort of cyber­net­ics; and, more recently, James Scott's con­cern with how states have forced what he calls 'leg­i­bil­ity' on their sub­jects" (7). The list is an inter­est­ing one because, as I men­tioned at the begin­ning, it fea­tures the same cast of char­ac­ters that the solu­tion­ists — those whom Moro­zov opposes so implaca­bly — rou­tinely invoke as their own inspirations.

The Hirschmann frame­work pro­vides Moro­zov with a recipe for how to think about the many solu­tion­ist ini­tia­tives he tack­les, and many of the pas­sages in the book have a sim­i­lar struc­ture. Let's return to self-tracking for a moment. Morozov's first line of cri­tique is Hirschmann's "jeop­ardy": he invokes the 'tech­nos­truc­tural­ists' to ask not just what indi­vid­ual choices self-tracking offers, but to ask how it changes the envi­ron­ment we inhabit. A deci­sion not to share becomes a tacit acknowl­edge­ment that you have some­thing to hide. The dan­ger is that "if you are well and well-off, self-monitoring will only make things bet­ter for you. If you are none of these things, the per­sonal prospec­tus could make your life much more dif­fi­cult, with higher insur­ance pre­mi­ums, fewer dis­counts, and lim­ited employ­ment prospects" (240). It erodes pri­vacy, the abil­ity to make a clean start, and erodes risk-taking behav­iour given the con­se­quences of fail­ure. A sec­ond line of cri­tique is to ask what, as our quan­tifi­able aspects become the focus of atten­tion, is miss­ing in the quan­ti­fied por­trait that emerges: what intan­gi­ble aspects of our­selves become invis­i­ble. Do these num­bers, he asks, miss mean­ing? Where do ethics and aes­thet­ics go to in a world of num­bers? Moro­zov sur­veys the centuries-old debates over the virtues and per­ils of quan­tifi­ca­tion. Here the cri­tique stum­bles, as Moro­zov rolls out thinker after thinker in a parade of rea­sons to doubt the ben­e­fits of quan­tifi­ca­tion. From Niet­zsche to Nuss­baum, from nutri­tion­ism (the quan­tifi­ca­tion of food) to water-metering and the evo­lu­tion of clothes-washing norms, to the ben­e­fits of fric­tion and dis­so­nance in our every­day lives, there is no doubt he cov­ers an impres­sive amount of ground, but the argu­ment is scat­ter­shot; dis­joint. The end result is an eru­dite and widely-sourced list of the ways in which tech­nolo­gies may lead to bad out­comes – but it is still a list, and it lacks the force of a strong cen­tral the­sis behind it.

The other chap­ters fol­low a sim­i­lar pat­tern: the per­ver­sity, futil­ity, and jeop­ardy of solu­tion­ist agen­das show a breadth of inves­ti­ga­tion that should shame many of his more pop­ulist oppo­nents, and pro­vide valu­able con­texts in which to think about tech­no­log­i­cal pro­grammes. In par­tic­u­lar, his insis­tence on seek­ing out his­tor­i­cal prece­dents for today's argu­ments is a wel­come change from the lan­guage of "rup­ture" that many solu­tion­ists prefer.

If there is a uni­fied point of view behind the cri­tique, it can be traced back to the "anti-solutionists" with whom Moro­zov iden­ti­fies. Like Moro­zov and like Steven John­son, I'm a big admirer of Jane Jacobs's Death and Life of Great Amer­i­can Cities, and James Scott's See­ing Like a State: which makes me won­der how can they end up in such dif­fer­ent camps. The fault, you will not be sur­prised to hear, belongs with the solutionists.

One of the remark­able insights of com­puter sci­en­tists (and social sci­en­tists and nat­ural sci­en­tists in the com­puter age) is an under­stand­ing of how great com­plex­ity and diver­sity can be gen­er­ated by pop­u­la­tions of sim­ple agents fol­low­ing sim­ple rules. Just as schools of fish and flocks of star­lings cre­ate sweep­ing artis­tic dis­plays by pur­su­ing sim­ple indi­vid­ual rules, so the rich tapes­try of city life emerges from sim­ple every­day inter­ac­tions. The ideas of net­work the­o­rists lend them­selves to talk of self-organization, non-hierarchical struc­tures, and infor­ma­tional cas­cades. Com­puter sci­en­tists take ideas such as the "Game of Life", the stun­ning images of frac­tal shapes, and the rich behav­iour of net­works to illus­trate how com­plex­ity arises from sim­plic­ity. From spin-glasses in mag­nets to the sort­ing and emer­gence of pat­terns revealed by Schelling and his intel­lec­tual descen­dants, sim­ple "micro­mo­tives" give rise to sur­pris­ing and intri­cate pat­terns of "mac­robe­hav­iour". Such agent-based think­ing seems at first to mesh per­fectly with Jacobs's closely observed stud­ies of city life. She famously focused her pierc­ing, ana­lyt­i­cal eye on the details of every day life in large cities, and used her obser­va­tions to chal­lenge and then tri­umph over the grand visions and arro­gance of top-down city plan­ners. It's the bottom-up nature of her approach that inspires: the plan­ners are try­ing to impose pat­terns on pop­u­la­tions from above but they miss the rela­tion­ship between the large and the small. It is tempt­ing, then, to take the descrip­tions of Jacobs's cities and encode them in algo­rithms: agent-based sim­u­la­tions of the effects of block size on pedes­trian traf­fic pat­terns seem almost man­dated, so obvi­ous a next step do they seem from Jacobs's chap­ter on the topic.

Yet this step, I increas­ingly believe, is a mis­take. Solu­tion­ism is ulti­mately cen­tral plan­ning by another name. The arro­gance of the urban plan­ner reap­pears as the arro­gance of the agent-based mod­eller and the Inter­net entre­pre­neur: the plan is still mono­lithic, but now takes the shape of a net­work. As Steven John­son says, when his "peer pro­gres­sives" see a social prob­lem, they design a peer net­work to solve it. But what has hap­pened to the cit­i­zens in this net­work? They have been reduced to dumb fol­low­ers of sim­ple rules. The rich­ness and com­plex­ity – all the inter­est, in fact – lies in the struc­ture of the net­work. If the out­come isn't what you want, well tweak the incen­tives, adjust the topol­ogy of the net­work, pro­vide an addi­tional option for the nodes (sorry, peo­ple) to choose from. For all its talk of bottom-up, decen­tral­ized think­ing, the Internet-centric solu­tion­ists end up with an impov­er­ished per­spec­tive of indi­vid­ual behaviour.

Just because com­plex and rich behav­iours can arise from sim­ple rules doesn't mean that peo­ple are sim­ple beings. Any approach that applies both to mur­mu­ra­tions of star­lings or spin-glasses of mag­netic ions as well as to cities of humans is, almost by def­i­n­i­tion, miss­ing the dis­tinc­tive fea­tures of human soci­eties. Com­plex­ity can arise from sim­plic­ity at the small scale, but macro-level com­plex­ity also arises from micro-level com­plex­ity. The sub­tle and ill-understood nature of our own needs and inter­ac­tions will defeat the best efforts of solu­tion­ist plan­ning, just has it has defeated those of cen­tral plan­ning and of free markets.

In his final chap­ters, Moro­zov appeals to this par­tic­u­lar­ist view of the world, in which each node of a net­work is dif­fer­ent from oth­ers, and in which gen­eral solu­tions don't exist. To dis­card the impor­tance of the details of our daily inter­ac­tions, as the solu­tion­ists inevitably do, is to inevitably pro­voke unex­pected responses, unin­ten­tional side effects, and unan­tic­i­pated break­downs of the solu­tion­ist schemes. When Brian Chesky of AirBnB com­plains that there are 30,000 dif­fer­ent cities in which he wants to oper­ate, and that it's just not prac­ti­cal to nego­ti­ate with each one, he is not design­ing a bottom-up solu­tion, he is impos­ing a top-down net­work. He is demand­ing that cities become "leg­i­ble" in James Scott's ter­mi­nol­ogy, to his over­ar­ch­ing (and sim­plis­tic) algorithms.

To reach for an alter­na­tive vision, Moro­zov looks to artists who have engaged in "adver­sar­ial design" to illus­trate the impor­tance of acknowl­edg­ing micro-level com­plex­ity. But to look to the arti­fi­cial­ity of the arts is second-best here; there is enough vari­a­tion and rich­ness of detail in the nor­mal every­day world to illus­trate the impor­tance of vari­a­tion and local knowl­edge and unan­tic­i­pated interactions.

But despite these minor com­plaints, "Click Here" is an admirable and sig­nif­i­cant achieve­ment. It iden­ti­fies and makes a valu­able and intel­lec­tu­ally adven­tur­ous assault on what is becom­ing an increas­ingly obvi­ous prob­lem: the appro­pri­a­tion of demo­c­ra­tic and "bottom-up" visions by those who seek to impose their own top-down net­works on the rest of us, and who reduce us to sim­plis­tic nodes in the process. This is a valu­able book: now if only some­one could make a TED Talk of it.